The National League’s top-seeded Milwaukee Brewers head to San Diego, California, with a 2-0 lead in their NLDS matchup against the Padres for Game 3 Tuesday night at Petco Park. The Brewers have a chance to advance to the NLCS for the second consecutive year with a win, while the Padres will be fighting to keep their season alive with the help of their home crowd.
The Brewers earned a first-round bye as the No. 1 seed in the NL and home-field advantage throughout the MLB playoffs after finishing the regular season with the best record in the league. While that extra time off during the Wild Card Series has hurt teams with a first-round bye plenty of times in the past, it hasn’t slowed down Milwaukee, which won the first two games of the NLDS against San Diego.
Both games have been one-run contests so far, with Brewers catcher William Contreras playing the hero in Game 1 with his go-ahead solo home run in the seventh inning as Milwaukee went on to win 3-2. The Brewers followed that with a dramatic 4-3 victory in Game 2 when 22-year-old outfielder Jackson Chourio delivered a walk-off two-RBI single against Padres superstar closer Mason Miller.
The Brewers are giving the start to right-hander Dustin May for Game 3. May went 7-9 with a 4.70 ERA across 31 regular season starts between Milwaukee and St. Louis. Tuesday night will be May’s first playoff appearance since he appeared in seven games with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2020.
The Padres will counter with right-hander Nick Pivetta, who missed a large portion of the season due to injury before making his return on Sept. 7. He posted a 2-0 record with a 1.45 ERA across four starts in September and has pitched really well for San Diego since signing with the team ahead of the 2025 season, owning a 16-7 record with a 2.87 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over the last two regular seasons. Pivetta already made a start for the Padres in the NL Wild Card Series, allowing one run over 3.1 innings against the Chicago Cubs on Sept. 30.
Check out Brewers vs. Padres MLB playoff predictions, picks, and more below ahead of Tuesday night’s NLDS Game 3 at Petco Park.
Brewers vs. Padres Odds for Game 3
Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists the Padres as favorites for Game 3 as they return home with their season on the line:
- Moneyline: Padres -140, Brewers +115
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+155), Brewers +1.5 (-190)
- Total (Runs): Over 7.5 (-110), Under 7.5 (-110)
Brewers vs. Padres NLDS Winner Odds
The Padres are listed as favorites for Game 3 Tuesday night, but with the Brewers leading the series 2-0 and needing only one more win to advance, Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a significant favorite to win the NLDS:
- Brewers to Win NLDS: -950
- Padres to Win NLDS: +600
Brewers vs. Padres MLB Playoff Predictions
Don’t forget to check out the Stats Hub at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook, where you can find our Brewers vs. Padres MLB playoff prediction below, which uses baseball betting insights and trends to support the pick:
Padres vs. Brewers Best Bet: Fernando Tatís Jr. Over 0.5 Runs (-105)
Fernando Tatís Jr. is the tone-setter at the top of the Padres’ lineup, and when a dynamic player like him who’s a major threat on the base paths reaches safely, there’s a good chance he’ll end up coming around to score. Tatís’ 96 runs scored during the regular season were near the top of MLB, and while it’s still a small sample size, his four runs scored during the playoffs so far are tied for the second-most.
Tatís is batting only .176 this postseason, but he has a stolen base and has scored the four runs mentioned above. He scored three runs in the Padres’ Game 1 win over the Cubs in the NL Wild Card Series and then scored a run in Game 2 of the NLDS this past Sunday. Tatís has also scored at least one run in three of his last five games dating back to the regular season.
- Padres vs. Brewers Player Prop Pick for NLDS Game 3: Fernando Tatís Jr. Over 0.5 Runs (-105)
Top 5 Most-Bet Player Props for MIL-SD
Jackson Chourio was the hero in Game 2 for the Brewers and has recorded a hit in each of the first two games of this series, making his hits prop the most-bet player prop for Game 3 of the NLDS against the Padres:
- Jackson Chourio – Over 0.5 Hits
- Fernando Tatís Jr. – Over 0.5 Home Runs
- Manny Machado – Over 0.5 Hits
- Dustin May – Over 2.5 Strikeouts
- Ty France – Over 0.5 Hits
Brewers vs. Padres Betting Splits for Game 3
Here’s how the action is trending at Hard Rock Bet for Tuesday night’s potential elimination game in the NLDS at Petco Park:
- The Padres are drawing more moneyline support with 58.6% of bets and an even higher 71.7% of the dollars.
- The Brewers are generating more action on the run line with 61.5% of bets, but San Diego accounts for 56.3% of the dollars.
- The Over is seeing more action on the total, but not by much, with 57.9% of bets and 59.7% of the dollars.
Brewers vs. Padres Game Info
- 📍 Where: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
- 📅 Date: Tuesday, Oct. 6
- ⏰ First Pitch: 9:30 PM ET
- 📺💻 TV/Streaming: FS1
- ⚾ Probable Pitchers:
- Brewers: Dustin May
- Padres: Nick Pivetta
- 🏆 Stage: NLDS – Game 3
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Referenced odds are subject to change.
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